How reliable are drought predictions? Study finds flaw in popular tool

Posted by Washington Post: Juliet Eilperin on November 15th, 2012
Christian Science Monitor: The inappropriate use of a metric for measuring drought has led some studies to overstate a trend over the past several decades toward more frequent, intense droughts, according to a new analysis. The trend has been attributed in no small part to global warming. The authors of the paper caution that the metric's continued use is likely to overstate future effects as well, making it more difficult for water resource managers and others to get reasonable projections of future drought hazards as the......

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